Dead Heat or Dead Wrong?

2024 Election Shows the Hard Limits of Polling

The best sign of the closeness of the race for President is the fog of disclaimers pollsters now release every time they put out a new survey.  There’s a new poll every day, often more than one.  They stack up and give one common verdict:  Kamala Harris leads nationally—by a small margin—and nobody really knows who’s ahead in the swing states that will …